Comparative Evaluation of Logistic Regression and Gradient Boosting Models for Influenza Outbreak Early-Warning Using U.S. CDC ILINet Surveillance Data (2010-2025)
This study demonstrates that both logistic regression and gradient boosting models achieve near-perfect accuracy in detecting national influenza outbreaks using U.S. CDC ILINet surveillance data from 2010 to 2025, validating the operational utility of framing early-warning as a threshold-based binary classification problem.